Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.003354 0.003519 0.003687 0.003872 0.004070 0.004276 0.004506
2025-05-25 0.003113 0.003363 0.003629 0.003935 0.004276 0.004648 0.005084
2025-06-01 0.002920 0.003216 0.003540 0.003922 0.004362 0.004857 0.005459
2025-06-08 0.002760 0.003087 0.003451 0.003890 0.004409 0.005008 0.005758
2025-06-15 0.002610 0.002955 0.003346 0.003827 0.004407 0.005092 0.005971
2025-06-22 0.002487 0.002845 0.003258 0.003774 0.004409 0.005172 0.006176
2025-06-29 0.002407 0.002782 0.003220 0.003776 0.004472 0.005327 0.006475
2025-07-06 0.002277 0.002652 0.003095 0.003665 0.004387 0.005287 0.006519
2025-07-13 0.002217 0.002603 0.003066 0.003668 0.004443 0.005426 0.006799
2025-07-20 0.002185 0.002588 0.003076 0.003719 0.004562 0.005649 0.007200
2025-07-27 0.002117 0.002524 0.003022 0.003686 0.004566 0.005720 0.007394
2025-08-03 0.002058 0.002470 0.002978 0.003663 0.004583 0.005805 0.007609
2025-08-10 0.002000 0.002415 0.002932 0.003637 0.004593 0.005884 0.007822
2025-08-17 0.001981 0.002410 0.002949 0.003694 0.004719 0.006127 0.008285
2025-08-24 0.001934 0.002368 0.002917 0.003682 0.004749 0.006234 0.008551
2025-08-31 0.001884 0.002318 0.002873 0.003652 0.004752 0.006301 0.008759
2025-09-07 0.001825 0.002256 0.002810 0.003595 0.004712 0.006303 0.008863
2025-09-14 0.001773 0.002201 0.002755 0.003546 0.004683 0.006320 0.008990
2025-09-21 0.001742 0.002174 0.002738 0.003548 0.004726 0.006444 0.009293
2025-09-28 0.001674 0.002096 0.002647 0.003445 0.004612 0.006327 0.009198
2025-10-05 0.001648 0.002072 0.002632 0.003448 0.004653 0.006447 0.009498
2025-10-12 0.001639 0.002072 0.002648 0.003496 0.004762 0.006675 0.009991
2025-10-19 0.001603 0.002034 0.002611 0.003465 0.004752 0.006716 0.010166